Today’s market plays to the advantage of buyers, who should be swooping in to make the most of reduced housing costs and favorable interest rates. Many are sitting by and waiting for the market to turn around. But when the market turns, today’s bargains will be yesterday’s missed opportunities.
While home prices may drop further, it is likely that these decreased prices will be accompanied by increased financing costs due to rate cuts by the Fed. This may be counterintuitive, but cuts in the rates that the Fed loans money to banks can result in higher interest rates on mortgages. This means that any money saved on paying less for a house in a few months time will be offset by your having to pay off their mortgage at a higher interest rate making “playing the waiting game” a waste of time (and very little fun).
This rate increase isn’t just speculation. Just a couple of weeks ago, in early February, the fixed mortgage rate jumped a full half-percent, making it the fastest rate increase in 20 years.
The following scenarios demonstrate how even as home prices may drop, monthly mortgage payments basically stay the same due to increased interest rates: Prices decrease by 5% and interest rates increase by 0.5%. A home priced at $218,900 with a 6.04% interest rate will see a monthly mortgage payment of $1,054. If there is a price drop of 5% to $207,955 and an increase in the interest rates to 6.54%, the monthly payment will be $1,056. Consider a 10% price drop to $197,010 and an interest rate increase to 7.04% the payment will be $1,053.
We currently have a large inventory of prices and sellers motivated to sell with historically low interest rates that seem to be rising quickly. Many of my current clients kick themselves for not purchasing in 2002 or earlier. I just hope the kicking won’t continue because they waited out the market again.